Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000093 0.000097 0.000103 0.000108 0.000114 0.000121
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000087 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110 0.000119 0.000131
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000084 0.000092 0.000102 0.000114 0.000128 0.000146
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000080 0.000090 0.000101 0.000115 0.000133 0.000156
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000077 0.000087 0.000100 0.000116 0.000136 0.000164
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000100 0.000118 0.000142 0.000176
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086 0.000101 0.000122 0.000150 0.000191
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000071 0.000083 0.000100 0.000122 0.000152 0.000198
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000068 0.000080 0.000097 0.000119 0.000150 0.000200
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000066 0.000078 0.000094 0.000118 0.000151 0.000204
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000074 0.000091 0.000114 0.000147 0.000201
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000074 0.000091 0.000116 0.000153 0.000215
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000093 0.000119 0.000160 0.000232
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000073 0.000091 0.000119 0.000162 0.000242
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000093 0.000123 0.000171 0.000265
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000058 0.000072 0.000092 0.000123 0.000174 0.000276
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000070 0.000091 0.000123 0.000176 0.000287
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000182 0.000307
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000070 0.000092 0.000128 0.000192 0.000335
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000054 0.000068 0.000091 0.000127 0.000192 0.000343
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000124 0.000189 0.000342
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086 0.000122 0.000187 0.000345
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000083 0.000118 0.000181 0.000335